Semantic Uncertainty Quantification of Hallucinations in LLMs: A Quantum Tensor Network Based Method

ICLR 2026 Conference SubmissionAnonymous Authors
Semantic uncertaintyLarge language modelsquantum physics
Abstract:

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit strong generative capabilities but remain vulnerable to confabulations, fluent yet unreliable outputs that vary arbitrarily even under identical prompts. Leveraging a quantum tensor network–based pipeline, we propose a quantum physics-inspired uncertainty quantification framework that accounts for the aleatoric uncertainty in token sequence probability for semantic equivalence-based clustering of LLM generations. In turn, this offers a principled and interpretable scheme for hallucination detection. We further introduce an entropy-maximization strategy that prioritizes high-certainty, semantically coherent outputs and highlights entropy regions where LLM decisions are likely to be unreliable, offering practical guidelines for when human oversight is warranted. We evaluate the robustness of our scheme under different generation lengths and quantization levels, dimensions overlooked in prior studies, demonstrating that our approach remains reliable even in resource-constrained deployments. A total of 116 experiments on TriviaQA, NQ, SVAMP, and SQuAD across multiple architectures (Mistral-7B, Mistral-7B-instruct, Falcon-rw-1b, LLaMA-3.2-1b, LLaMA-2-13b-chat, LLaMA-2-7b-chat, LLaMA-2-13b and LLaMA-2-7b) show consistent improvements in AUROC and AURAC over state-of-the-art baselines.

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Overview

Overall Novelty Assessment

The paper proposes a quantum tensor network-based framework for uncertainty quantification in LLM hallucination detection, focusing on semantic equivalence-based clustering of token sequence probabilities. It resides in the 'Semantic-Based Uncertainty Estimation' leaf, which contains five papers including the original work. This leaf sits within the broader 'Uncertainty Quantification Methodologies and Frameworks' branch, one of seven major branches in a taxonomy covering fifty papers. The semantic-based cluster represents a moderately populated research direction, with sibling works like Semantic Entropy Detection and Semantic Entropy Probes establishing the core paradigm of clustering semantically equivalent generations to estimate epistemic uncertainty.

The taxonomy reveals neighboring leaves addressing token-level probability methods, black-box ensemble approaches, and specialized techniques for long-text or concept-level estimation. The original work's quantum tensor formulation diverges from the probabilistic clustering strategies dominant in its immediate leaf, instead offering a geometric or structural perspective akin to Semantic Energy and Semantic Density in related branches. The scope note for this leaf explicitly excludes token-level methods, positioning the work within a meaning-space analysis paradigm. Nearby branches on hallucination detection and mitigation strategies suggest the field balances foundational uncertainty estimation with practical deployment concerns.

Across three contributions, the analysis examined eighteen candidate papers with no clear refutations identified. The quantum tensor network framework examined three candidates with zero refutable overlaps, suggesting limited prior work on tensor-based semantic uncertainty in the search scope. The entropy maximization strategy examined ten candidates with no refutations, indicating potential novelty in calibration approaches within the semantic clustering paradigm. Robustness evaluation across quantization and generation lengths examined five candidates with no refutations, highlighting that these dimensions may be underexplored in prior semantic-based methods. The limited search scope means these findings reflect top-eighteen semantic matches rather than exhaustive coverage.

Given the moderate density of the semantic-based uncertainty leaf and the absence of refutations among eighteen examined candidates, the work appears to introduce a distinct mathematical formalism within an established research direction. The quantum tensor approach and robustness dimensions may offer incremental advances over probabilistic clustering baselines, though the limited search scope precludes definitive claims about field-wide novelty. The analysis captures top semantic neighbors but does not cover the full fifty-paper taxonomy or broader literature on quantum-inspired machine learning methods.

Taxonomy

Core-task Taxonomy Papers
50
3
Claimed Contributions
18
Contribution Candidate Papers Compared
0
Refutable Paper

Research Landscape Overview

Core task: uncertainty quantification for hallucination detection in large language models. The field has organized itself around several complementary perspectives. At the broadest level, researchers distinguish between foundational uncertainty quantification methodologies—ranging from token-level confidence scores to semantic-based measures—and the specific problem of hallucination detection and characterization, which seeks to identify when models generate content unsupported by their training data or input context. Application-specific branches address domains such as medical question answering or visual perception, while mitigation and calibration strategies explore how to reduce or correct unreliable outputs. Evaluation frameworks and benchmarking efforts provide standardized testbeds, and robustness analyses examine model behavior under distribution shift or adversarial conditions. Representative works like Semantic Entropy Detection[13] and Semantic Entropy Probes[15] illustrate how semantic clustering of model outputs can reveal uncertainty, while surveys such as Uncertainty Calibration Survey[1] and Confidence Calibration Survey[2] synthesize broader methodological trends. Within the semantic-based uncertainty estimation cluster, a central theme is moving beyond simple token probabilities to capture meaning-level variability. Semantic Entropy Detection[13] pioneered clustering semantically equivalent generations to estimate epistemic uncertainty, and Semantic Entropy Probes[15] extended this by training lightweight classifiers on hidden states. Quantum Tensor Uncertainty[0] contributes to this line by proposing tensor-based representations that encode richer structural information about semantic uncertainty, positioning itself alongside Semantic Energy[26] and Semantic Density[44], which also explore geometric or energy-based formulations. These approaches contrast with token-level methods like Token-Level NLI Entropy[41] or fact-level calibration schemes such as Fact-level Calibration[47], highlighting an ongoing trade-off between computational efficiency and the granularity of uncertainty estimates. The original work's emphasis on quantum-inspired tensor decompositions offers a novel mathematical lens within this active subfield, complementing the probabilistic clustering strategies of its immediate neighbors.

Claimed Contributions

Quantum tensor network-based uncertainty quantification framework for token sequence probabilities

The authors introduce a novel framework that leverages quantum tensor networks and perturbation theory to quantify uncertainty in token sequence probabilities. This physics-inspired approach provides a deterministic, one-shot method for assessing local sensitivity of sequence probabilities to model perturbations, addressing a gap in prior hallucination detection methods.

3 retrieved papers
Entropy maximization strategy for calibrating token sequence probabilities

The authors propose a principled method that adjusts token sequence probabilities by maximizing Rényi entropy while penalizing deviations weighted by uncertainty. This enables selection of more reliable outputs and identifies regions requiring human oversight, going beyond simple entropy thresholding used in prior work.

10 retrieved papers
Robustness evaluation across quantization levels and generation lengths

The authors systematically assess their hallucination detection framework across multiple quantization settings (16-bit, 8-bit, 4-bit) and varying generation lengths. This evaluation addresses practical deployment scenarios that prior hallucination detection studies have not examined, demonstrating the method's applicability to real-world resource-constrained environments.

5 retrieved papers

Core Task Comparisons

Comparisons with papers in the same taxonomy category

Contribution Analysis

Detailed comparisons for each claimed contribution

Contribution

Quantum tensor network-based uncertainty quantification framework for token sequence probabilities

The authors introduce a novel framework that leverages quantum tensor networks and perturbation theory to quantify uncertainty in token sequence probabilities. This physics-inspired approach provides a deterministic, one-shot method for assessing local sensitivity of sequence probabilities to model perturbations, addressing a gap in prior hallucination detection methods.

Contribution

Entropy maximization strategy for calibrating token sequence probabilities

The authors propose a principled method that adjusts token sequence probabilities by maximizing Rényi entropy while penalizing deviations weighted by uncertainty. This enables selection of more reliable outputs and identifies regions requiring human oversight, going beyond simple entropy thresholding used in prior work.

Contribution

Robustness evaluation across quantization levels and generation lengths

The authors systematically assess their hallucination detection framework across multiple quantization settings (16-bit, 8-bit, 4-bit) and varying generation lengths. This evaluation addresses practical deployment scenarios that prior hallucination detection studies have not examined, demonstrating the method's applicability to real-world resource-constrained environments.

Semantic Uncertainty Quantification of Hallucinations in LLMs: A Quantum Tensor Network Based Method | Novelty Validation