THE PATH OF LEAST RESISTANCE: GUIDING LLM REASONING TRAJECTORIES WITH PREFIX CONSENSUS

ICLR 2026 Conference SubmissionAnonymous Authors
Speculative reasoningLLM inference optimization
Abstract:

Large language models achieve strong reasoning performance, but inference strategies such as Self-Consistency (SC) are computationally expensive, as they fully expand all reasoning traces. We introduce PoLR (Path of Least Resistance), the first inference-time method to leverage prefix self-consistency for compute-efficient reasoning. PoLR clusters short prefixes of reasoning traces, identifies the dominant cluster, and expands only a subset of promising paths, preserving the accuracy benefits of SC while substantially reducing token usage and latency. Our theoretical analysis, framed via mutual information and entropy, explains why early reasoning steps encode strong signals predictive of final correctness. Empirically, PoLR consistently matches or exceeds SC across GSM8K, Math500, AIME 2024/2025, and GPQA-Diamond, reducing token usage by up to 60% and wall-clock latency by up to 50%. Moreover, PoLR is fully complementary to adaptive inference methods (e.g., Adaptive Consistency, Early-Stopping SC) and can serve as a drop-in pre-filter, making SC substantially more efficient and scalable without requiring model fine-tuning.

Disclaimer
This report is AI-GENERATED using Large Language Models and WisPaper (A scholar search engine). It analyzes academic papers' tasks and contributions against retrieved prior work. While this system identifies POTENTIAL overlaps and novel directions, ITS COVERAGE IS NOT EXHAUSTIVE AND JUDGMENTS ARE APPROXIMATE. These results are intended to assist human reviewers and SHOULD NOT be relied upon as a definitive verdict on novelty.
NOTE that some papers exist in multiple, slightly different versions (e.g., with different titles or URLs). The system may retrieve several versions of the same underlying work. The current automated pipeline does not reliably align or distinguish these cases, so human reviewers will need to disambiguate them manually.
If you have any questions, please contact: mingzhang23@m.fudan.edu.cn

Overview

Overall Novelty Assessment

The paper introduces PoLR, a method that clusters short prefixes of reasoning traces to identify dominant patterns and selectively expand promising paths, reducing computational cost while preserving accuracy. It resides in the 'Prefix Consensus for Trajectory Selection' leaf, which contains only three papers total, indicating a relatively sparse research direction within the broader taxonomy. This leaf focuses specifically on using prefix self-consistency to guide trajectory selection at inference time, distinguishing it from adjacent areas like shared-prefix batching or training-focused prefix methods.

The taxonomy reveals that prefix-based optimization divides into inference-time methods (where PoLR sits), training-focused approaches, and domain-specific applications. Neighboring work in 'Shared-Prefix Computational Efficiency' addresses batching and memory optimization rather than trajectory selection, while 'Prefix-Aware Policy Optimization' tackles training efficiency. The taxonomy's scope notes clarify that PoLR's inference-time trajectory selection distinguishes it from these adjacent branches, though all share the broader theme of exploiting prefix structure for computational gains.

Among 22 candidates examined, the first contribution (prefix consistency for compute-efficient reasoning) shows overlap with 3 of 10 candidates reviewed, suggesting some prior exploration of prefix-based trajectory selection. The theoretical analysis contribution appears more distinctive, with 0 refutable candidates among 10 examined. The complementarity claim shows 1 refutable candidate among 2 examined. These statistics reflect a limited search scope focused on semantic similarity, not an exhaustive field survey, so substantial related work may exist beyond the top-ranked matches.

Based on this limited analysis, PoLR appears to occupy a moderately explored niche within inference optimization. The sparse taxonomy leaf and mixed refutability statistics suggest the core prefix consensus idea has precedent, while the theoretical framing and integration strategy may offer incremental advances. A broader literature search would be needed to assess whether the 60% token reduction and complementarity claims represent meaningful empirical or architectural contributions beyond existing prefix-based methods.

Taxonomy

Core-task Taxonomy Papers
7
3
Claimed Contributions
22
Contribution Candidate Papers Compared
4
Refutable Paper

Research Landscape Overview

Core task: Compute-efficient reasoning through prefix-based trajectory selection. The field organizes around three main branches that reflect different optimization strategies. Prefix-Based Inference Optimization focuses on runtime efficiency by leveraging shared prefixes to reduce redundant computation during model inference, often through techniques like batching or consensus mechanisms that identify common trajectory beginnings. Prefix-Based Training Optimization addresses the learning phase, exploring how prefix structures can guide more efficient training procedures or sample selection. Domain-Specific Prefix Applications examines how prefix-based methods adapt to particular problem settings, such as code generation, fuzzing, or network modeling, where domain constraints shape the prefix structure. Works like Hydragen[3] exemplify inference-time batching strategies, while Prefix Guided Fuzzing[4] illustrates domain-specific adaptation. Within the inference optimization branch, a particularly active line of work centers on prefix consensus for trajectory selection, where multiple candidate reasoning paths are generated and pruned based on agreement in their initial steps. Path Least Resistance[0] sits squarely in this cluster, emphasizing how early trajectory convergence can signal higher-quality reasoning paths and enable compute savings by discarding divergent candidates early. This approach contrasts subtly with Path Consistency Prefix[5], which also exploits prefix agreement but may differ in how consistency is measured or applied across reasoning steps. Meanwhile, methods like First Few Tokens[1] and Prefix Grouper[2] explore related themes of early-stage trajectory analysis, though they may prioritize different trade-offs between selection accuracy and computational overhead. The central tension across these works involves balancing the cost of generating multiple prefixes against the gains from more informed trajectory pruning.

Claimed Contributions

PoLR: first inference-time method leveraging prefix consistency for compute-efficient reasoning

PoLR is a novel inference-time approach that clusters short prefixes of reasoning traces, identifies the dominant cluster, and expands only those paths. This preserves Self-Consistency accuracy while substantially reducing token usage and latency without requiring model fine-tuning.

10 retrieved papers
Can Refute
Theoretical analysis explaining prefix predictiveness via mutual information and entropy

The authors provide a theoretical framework using mutual information and entropy to formalize why early reasoning prefixes carry strong signals about eventual solution correctness, separating correctness alignment from structural skew to explain both accuracy preservation and efficiency gains.

10 retrieved papers
PoLR as a drop-in complement to adaptive inference methods

PoLR can be combined with existing adaptive self-consistency methods as a preprocessing step, further reducing token generation by filtering redundant reasoning modes before adaptive allocation, achieving stronger efficiency-accuracy trade-offs.

2 retrieved papers
Can Refute

Core Task Comparisons

Comparisons with papers in the same taxonomy category

Contribution Analysis

Detailed comparisons for each claimed contribution

Contribution

PoLR: first inference-time method leveraging prefix consistency for compute-efficient reasoning

PoLR is a novel inference-time approach that clusters short prefixes of reasoning traces, identifies the dominant cluster, and expands only those paths. This preserves Self-Consistency accuracy while substantially reducing token usage and latency without requiring model fine-tuning.

Contribution

Theoretical analysis explaining prefix predictiveness via mutual information and entropy

The authors provide a theoretical framework using mutual information and entropy to formalize why early reasoning prefixes carry strong signals about eventual solution correctness, separating correctness alignment from structural skew to explain both accuracy preservation and efficiency gains.

Contribution

PoLR as a drop-in complement to adaptive inference methods

PoLR can be combined with existing adaptive self-consistency methods as a preprocessing step, further reducing token generation by filtering redundant reasoning modes before adaptive allocation, achieving stronger efficiency-accuracy trade-offs.